Wednesday, March 22, 2023

Pokémon TCG Fossil 1st Edition Booster Pack Sales Analysis

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Initially released in 1999, the Pokémon TCG Fossil 1st Edition Booster Pack remains one of the most nostalgic and is generally considered a collector’s item. As a result, the cards from this set are sought after by collectors and players.

Based on the recent selling prices, our alerts have indicated that sold price history for this booster pack has begun trending upwards.

Note: Sales data are cleaned and obtained off eBay completed and sold items and are accurate as 29 Jan-23. Prices are all in $USD.

Sales Summary

Average Price & Number Of Items Sold Per Day

Next, we’ll look at the average sold price per day with a 7-day weekly moving average to identify trends, if any.

  • Per our alerts, the average sold price has recently spiked above its weekly average on 23rd Jan-23.
  • An item is sold daily, with abnormal spikes observed on 20th Dec-22 and 17th Jan-23.

Correlation Between Price & Quantity Sold

From the correlation plot, we do not see any relationship between this product’s prices and the quantity sold.

Forecasted Price Sold

We will also fit a 14-day price forecasting model based on the data obtained to forecast the price sold in the near term. Based on the forecast model, trends have yet to be picked up as of this writing. However, the 14-day forecasted price sold is expected to increase in the short term as seen below.

  • 14-day forecasted price sold

Disclaimer: data and analysis written in this post are solely for informational purposes and should not be used to make speculative purchases on items such as Pokémon cards.

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