Thursday, June 1, 2023

NBA Playoffs Drive Cards Markets Up for Kevin Durant, Joel Embiid

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The NBA Playoffs have finally arrived after a relatively uneventful regular season, and the sports card market has already started to adjust to some of the most intriguing storylines.

With Kevin Durant hitting the playoffs for the first time with the Phoenix Suns and Joel Embiid attempting to navigate a brutal Eastern Conference, some of the NBAโ€™s stars are seeing their prices trend up with high expectations.

Dive into the data for the latest trending cards and players in this weekโ€™s NBA Market Movers update.

Cards listed below are PSA 10s with a minimum average of $30 and 10 sales over the last 30 days.

Price Percentage Risers

1. Anthony Davis 2012 Hoops Base PSA 10 ๐Ÿ“ˆ 85%

2. Ja Morant 2019 Select Concourse PSA 10 ๐Ÿ“ˆ 59%

3. Donovan Mitchell 2017 Hoops Base PSA 10 ๐Ÿ“ˆ 57%

4. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander 2018 Donruss Base PSA 10 ๐Ÿ“ˆ 57%

5. Donte DiVincenzo 2018 Prizm Base PSA 10 ๐Ÿ“ˆ 57%

PLAYOFFS LIFT DAVIS: The Lakers are back in the playoffs after knocking off the Timberwolves on Tuesday, and will face the Memphis Grizzlies in the first round this weekend. Anthony Davis has been fantastic this season when healthy, and itโ€™s easy to see why so many experts believe Los Angeles can make a title run despite being the No. 7 seed in the West.ย 

Davis will obviously have to remain healthy during any type of title run โ€” and the Lakers have plenty to clean up to make that happen โ€” but the optimism has spilled into Davisโ€™ card market. Typically not extremely popular, Davis has seen solid sales volume on his 2012 Prizm Base PSA 10 and both volume and price growth on his 2012 Hoops Base PSA 10.

Source: Market Movers

Price Percentage Decliners

1. Jaren Jackson Jr. 2018 Prizm Base PSA 10 ๐Ÿ“‰ 42%

2. Ja Morant 2019 Hoops Premium Stock Silver PSA 10 ๐Ÿ“‰ 41%

3. Ja Morant 2019 Mosaic NBA Debut โ€“ Green PSA 10 ๐Ÿ“‰ 41%

4. Devin Booker 2015 Hoops Base PSA 10 ๐Ÿ“‰ 40%

5. David Robinson 1989 Hoops Base PSA 10 ๐Ÿ“‰ 38%

MORANT SLIPS: Whether itโ€™s a change in spotlight or concerns with off-the-court issues, Ja Morantโ€˜s market has continued to slip as heโ€™s fallen out of the MVP conversation. Overall, Morantโ€™s PSA 10 rookies tracked by Market Movers are down 9% collectively over the last 30 days.

Some less popular rookies for Morant have landed among the largest price percentage decliners, but the more troubling trend is that his flagship rookies are mostly down, too. Morantโ€™s 2019 Prizm Base PSA 10, 2019 Optic Base PSA 10 and Donruss Base PSA 10 are all trending down. His 2019 Select Concourse PSA 10 has managed positive price growth, but that is based on a single sale that could always be an outlier.ย 

Source; Market Movers

Dollar Amount Risers

1. Michael Jordan 1989 Fleer Base PSA 10 ๐Ÿ“ˆ $148

2. Joel Embiid 2014 Select Concourse PSA 10 ๐Ÿ“ˆ $72

3. Kevin Durant 2007 Topps Factory Set (White) PSA 10 ๐Ÿ“ˆ $72

4. Michael Jordan 1996 Fleer Decade of Excellence PSA 10 ๐Ÿ“ˆ $54

5. Giannis Antetokounmpo 2013 Prestige Base PSA 10 ๐Ÿ“ˆ $51

DURANT, EMBIID SURGE: While the NBAโ€™s regular season felt a little boring โ€” outside of the trade deadline โ€” the playoffs have plenty of storylines to be excited about. Kevin Durant and the Phoenix Suns are the No. 4 seed in the West and appear poised to contend for the title. In the East, Joel Embiid looks like heโ€™s going to run away with the MVP award while the Sixers have to fight through Boston and Milwaukee.

Overall, Embiidโ€™s PSA 10 rookies tracked by Market Movers are up 17% collectively over the last 30 days while Durantโ€™s are up 3%. As expected, Embiidโ€™s 2014 Select Concourse PSA 10 is among his biggest risers, with a 57% jump over the last 30 days. Durantโ€™s 2007 Topps Factory Set PSA 10 is again a key target for many collectors, and has jumped 32% over the last month.

Source: Market Movers

Dollar Amount Decliners

1. LeBron James 2003 Topps Chrome Base PSA 10 ๐Ÿ“‰ $525

2. Nikola Jokic 2015 Prizm Base PSA 10 ๐Ÿ“‰ $273

3. Shaquille Oโ€™Neal 1992 Topps Gold PSA 10 ๐Ÿ“‰ $236

4. Luka Doncic 2018 Prizm Silver PSA 10 ๐Ÿ“‰ $185

5. Giannis Antetokounmpo 2013 Prizm Base PSA 10 ๐Ÿ“‰ $163

STAR FATIGUE: While itโ€™s probably easy to pick on Luka Doncic right now with the Mavericks missing the playoffs entirely, it looks like there might be some overall fatigue with some of the gameโ€™s top stars. Along with Doncic, both Nikola Jokic and Giannis Antetokounmpo are down overall. According to Market Movers, PSA 10 rookies are down collectively for all three, with Jokic being hit the hardest with a 20% drop.

Looking at the Prizm Base PSA 10 and Prizm Silver PSA 10 rookies for all three, five of the six cards are trending down over the last 30 days. The one exception is Antetokounmpoโ€™s Prizm Silver, which hasnโ€™t recorded any sales. Things can certainly shift with the playoffs here for Antetokounmpo and Jokic, though Doncicโ€™s market could continue to slip with the Mavericks entirely in the offseason.

Source: Market Movers

Sales Volume Leaders

1. Ja Morant 2019 Prizm Base PSA 10 ๐Ÿ“ˆ 163 sales

2. Luka Doncic 2018 Prizm Base PSA 10 ๐Ÿ“ˆ 156 sales

3. Zion Williamson 2019 Prizm Base PSA 10 ๐Ÿ“ˆ 139 sales

4. Luka Doncic 2018 Donruss Base PSA 10 ๐Ÿ“ˆ 93 sales

5. Anthony Edwards 2020 Prizm Base PSA 10 ๐Ÿ“ˆ 76 sales

Popular Sealed Wax (Hobby Boxes)

1. 2022 Elite Basketball ๐Ÿ“‰ 27%

2. 2022 Donruss Basketball ๐Ÿ“‰ 22%

3. 2022 Prizm Draft Picks Basketball ๐Ÿ“‰ 14%

4. 2022 Contenders Basketball ๐Ÿ“ˆ 3%

5. 2021 Mosaic Basketball ๐Ÿ“‰ 19%

Source: Market Movers

Market Pulse Indexes Over Last 30 Days

Basketball 2018-2020: ๐Ÿ“‰ 4%

Basketball 2010-2017: ๐Ÿ“‰ 6%

Basketball 2000-2009: ๐Ÿ“ˆ 3%

Source: Market Movers

Basketball 1990-1999: ๐Ÿ“‰ 4%

Basketball 1980-1989: ๐Ÿ“‰ 6%

Basketball 1979 & Older: ๐Ÿ“ˆ 3%

Source: Market Movers

With the Sports Card Investor app, you can profit from the hobby you love by keeping up with trending cards, tracking real-time prices with Market Movers and buying items on eBay. Download the industry-leading app here forย Appleย orย Android

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